Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.312945 0.336351 0.361320 0.390051 0.422340 0.457669 0.499476
2025-02-09 0.264317 0.298271 0.337309 0.386080 0.446209 0.519054 0.615824
2025-02-16 0.229179 0.267684 0.314419 0.376563 0.459056 0.567989 0.728715
2025-02-23 0.207316 0.248795 0.301370 0.374993 0.479176 0.627977 0.871084
2025-03-02 0.188884 0.231384 0.287080 0.368339 0.489527 0.674667 1.006577
2025-03-09 0.174091 0.216834 0.274397 0.361312 0.496936 0.716996 1.147733
2025-03-16 0.162194 0.204878 0.263716 0.355254 0.503994 0.759185 1.303403
2025-03-23 0.156014 0.200104 0.262454 0.362756 0.533481 0.846495 1.590227
2025-03-30 0.147399 0.191116 0.254076 0.357859 0.540737 0.893674 1.809935
2025-04-06 0.137339 0.179325 0.240516 0.343013 0.527869 0.897421 1.919950
2025-04-13 0.128367 0.168582 0.227774 0.328262 0.513094 0.894020 2.009904
2025-04-20 0.124336 0.164876 0.225543 0.330912 0.531420 0.967530 2.387945
2025-04-27 0.122588 0.164689 0.229125 0.344620 0.575201 1.118032 3.211517
2025-05-04 0.118163 0.160225 0.225647 0.345635 0.593940 1.215700 3.986594
2025-05-11 0.112644 0.153759 0.218455 0.339113 0.595545 1.268726 4.650601
2025-05-18 0.108656 0.149461 0.214544 0.338339 0.609966 1.365906 5.826196
2025-05-25 0.104175 0.144130 0.208512 0.332835 0.612472 1.428005 6.968994
2025-06-01 0.099974 0.139032 0.202546 0.326866 0.612896 1.484466 8.321722
2025-06-08 0.096223 0.134475 0.197227 0.321674 0.614418 1.546645 10.111391
2025-06-15 0.094588 0.133266 0.197643 0.328145 0.646944 1.744239 15.634842
2025-06-22 0.091447 0.129423 0.193146 0.323932 0.650431 1.827535 20.473060
2025-06-29 0.087240 0.123649 0.184901 0.311123 0.628470 1.790366 21.760281
2025-07-06 0.083266 0.118136 0.176907 0.298356 0.605228 1.741109 22.475216